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Red180
174153.5
111152.3
161046.9
Blue56
338941.3
242112.8
5325.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14645010020025030018056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#16
53.52.5
51.153.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.2
3389
#19
41.30.4
27.427.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1111
#29
52.32.5
40.643.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.0
53
#32
25.30.2
22.322.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
46.92.5
39.041.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 34.1
2421
#17
12.80.2
11.110.8
Auto
Teleop
End