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Red104
338941.3
413716.7
252840.5
Blue17
144615.6
296411.9
374813.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6944010015020010417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3389
#19
41.33.2
25.028.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.6
1446
#44
15.62.6
18.215.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
40.51.9
33.635.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.9
3748
#28
13.62.6
19.316.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4137
#41
16.73.2
6.59.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
2964
#15
11.91.5
10.18.5
Auto
Teleop
End