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Red146
510620.2
162966.5
406739.5
Blue111
445626.0
5325.3
188556.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11690050150200250146111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.51.7
63.064.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.3
56.30.9
42.943.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
39.51.7
31.533.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.4
4456
#12
26.00.9
25.626.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5106
#13
20.22.9
17.220.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
53
#32
25.30.9
25.226.1
Auto
Teleop
End