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Red78
154720.9
379322.3
454128.1
Blue7
119519.4
5269-0.9
494918.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60530100150200787

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4541
#37
28.10.9
28.029.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
1195
#39
19.43.9
26.922.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3793
#23
22.31.6
14.716.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
4949
#36
18.52.4
22.820.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1547
#38
20.90.9
16.417.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.9
5269
#54
-0.93.9
4.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End