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Red60
40143.7
17489.9
174153.5
Blue96
252840.5
510620.2
445626.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99790501502002506096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#16
53.51.8
52.150.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.9
40.50.7
35.536.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
401
#22
43.71.8
41.239.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.6
4456
#12
26.00.7
26.527.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1748
#45
9.92.8
2.6-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.3
5106
#13
20.21.1
20.021.1
Auto
Teleop
End