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Qual 72014 Chesapeake Regional
Red64
510620.2
111152.3
171929.0
Blue96
337327.0
119519.4
161046.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions935601502002506496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1111
#29
52.31.3
40.8→39.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.4
1610
#3
46.92.3
28.2→30.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1719
#49
29.01.5
32.4→30.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.0
3373
#20
27.02.3
20.1→22.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5106
#13
20.28.1
20.2→12.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.8
1195
#39
19.42.8
13.7→16.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—