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Red81
23353.2
144615.6
161046.9
Blue86
237738.0
450514.5
22918.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1285301001502002503008186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#11
53.21.8
54.052.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.2
2377
#31
38.01.1
39.640.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
46.91.8
46.444.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.0
229
#14
18.91.1
13.614.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1446
#44
15.62.7
15.713.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
4505
#24
14.51.1
11.212.3
Auto
Teleop
End