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Qual 892014 Chesapeake Regional
Red132
188556.3
17489.9
494522.5
Blue104
171929.0
463825.3
16017.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7339050100150200132104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1885
#6
56.33.2
49.5→52.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 27.2
1719
#49
29.03.0
25.5→28.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4945
#18
22.53.2
18.7→21.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.8
4638
#40
25.34.0
15.1→19.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1748
#45
9.94.3
-0.7→3.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.1
1601
#52
7.84.0
3.8→7.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—