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Red29
296411.9
510620.2
450514.5
Blue22
494918.5
365024.6
328311.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466401001502922

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5106
#13
20.21.2
21.119.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
3650
#47
24.62.0
26.624.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4505
#24
14.51.0
15.514.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
4949
#36
18.52.0
20.518.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2964
#15
11.91.0
12.511.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3283
#51
11.72.4
14.111.7
Auto
Teleop
End