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Semifinal 2-22014 Chesapeake Regional
Red133
40143.7
68636.2
22918.9
Blue146
174153.5
161046.9
494522.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91125050150200250300133146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#22
43.70.6
42.8→43.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 9.8
1741
#16
53.50.4
52.2→52.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
686
#8
36.20.6
35.4→36.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 10.7
1610
#3
46.90.4
45.7→46.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
229
#14
18.90.6
18.0→18.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.7
4945
#18
22.50.4
21.8→22.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—