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Red176
12583.9
15553.9
66318.9
Blue180
352561.3
13353.7
393036.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15515250100200250176180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#4
83.90.4
83.483.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.6
61.30.5
61.862.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
155
#1
53.90.4
53.353.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
133
#2
53.70.5
54.254.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
663
#22
18.90.4
18.318.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.2
3930
#19
36.10.5
36.637.0
Auto
Teleop
End