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Red172
5852.4
17240.3
31950.1
Blue106
454619.0
492535.3
46734.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15576050100200250300172106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#21
52.40.5
52.352.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.1
35.30.3
35.235.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
319
#6
50.10.5
50.050.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.1
467
#12
34.10.3
34.034.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
172
#15
40.30.5
40.240.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.2
4546
#17
19.00.3
19.019.2
Auto
Teleop
End