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Red168
456452.4
492535.3
359720.9
Blue123
183126.4
352561.3
234219.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9783050150200250168123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#20
52.43.6
51.355.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.9
61.31.9
54.156.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
35.33.6
30.534.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
1831
#31
26.41.9
18.320.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3597
#27
20.93.6
13.216.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
2342
#36
19.81.9
12.614.5
Auto
Teleop
End