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Red12
130718.0
172117.8
404213.4
Blue115
358517.6
512251.4
178619.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367705010015020025012115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1307
#35
18.01.5
17.115.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 33.3
5122
#11
51.42.2
46.248.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1721
#18
17.81.5
13.211.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
1786
#34
19.62.2
18.620.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4042
#33
13.41.5
12.310.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
3585
#24
17.62.2
6.08.2
Auto
Teleop
End