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Red82
512251.4
183126.4
455545.2
Blue96
456452.4
66318.9
404120.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091000501502002508296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5122
#11
51.41.3
48.447.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
4564
#20
52.40.3
57.457.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4555
#30
45.21.3
36.335.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.9
4041
#37
20.30.3
26.826.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1831
#31
26.41.3
22.621.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
663
#22
18.90.3
17.317.1
Auto
Teleop
End