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Red122
107131.4
455545.2
492535.3
Blue72
479317.2
359720.9
178619.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10943015020025012272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4555
#30
45.21.2
37.038.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.3
3597
#27
20.90.9
22.323.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
35.31.2
34.135.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.7
1786
#34
19.60.9
17.318.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1071
#13
31.41.2
27.829.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.2
4793
#38
17.21.5
13.915.4
Auto
Teleop
End