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Red56
234219.8
455545.2
490632.3
Blue63
526528.4
16638.7
172117.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions825801001502005663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4555
#30
45.21.1
37.336.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
166
#10
38.70.1
30.630.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4906
#32
32.31.1
27.025.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
5265
#28
28.40.1
16.316.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2342
#36
19.81.1
13.712.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
1721
#18
17.80.1
14.714.7
Auto
Teleop
End