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Red161
447326.6
492535.3
13353.7
Blue112
358517.6
455545.2
345152.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions999880120140160161112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#2
53.73.1
40.743.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
52.20.7
46.146.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
35.33.1
35.438.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.9
4555
#30
45.20.7
40.541.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4473
#23
26.63.1
23.026.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
3585
#24
17.60.7
11.612.3
Auto
Teleop
End