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Red53
404120.3
358517.6
447326.6
Blue127
15553.9
512251.4
490632.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48144010020025030053127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4473
#23
26.60.5
26.125.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 27.3
155
#1
53.90.1
51.050.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4041
#37
20.30.5
24.524.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 31.1
5122
#11
51.40.1
45.845.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3585
#24
17.60.5
12.311.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.7
4906
#32
32.30.1
32.632.5
Auto
Teleop
End