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Red68
234219.8
102717.1
393036.1
Blue102
264838.1
404213.4
455545.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions738405010015020025030068102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3930
#19
36.10.3
33.733.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
4555
#30
45.21.0
41.242.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2342
#36
19.80.3
21.921.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.2
38.11.0
31.232.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1027
#29
17.10.3
19.419.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
4042
#33
13.41.0
9.910.9
Auto
Teleop
End