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Red150
46734.1
526528.4
358517.6
Blue125
130718.0
183126.4
16638.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6379050100150200250150125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#12
34.14.2
29.734.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
166
#10
38.72.4
36.639.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5265
#28
28.44.2
22.126.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
1831
#31
26.42.4
23.926.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3585
#24
17.64.2
13.417.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1307
#35
18.02.4
15.618.0
Auto
Teleop
End