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Red137
107131.4
12583.9
178619.6
Blue103
447326.6
456452.4
360929.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139101050200250300137103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#4
83.90.2
82.082.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.6
4564
#20
52.40.2
51.951.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1071
#13
31.40.2
31.731.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
3609
#16
29.50.2
29.128.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1786
#34
19.60.2
19.419.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
4473
#23
26.60.2
26.125.9
Auto
Teleop
End