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Red226
66318.9
15553.9
12583.9
Blue151
5852.4
17240.3
31950.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15014150100200250226151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#4
83.91.3
81.182.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.5
58
#21
52.40.1
52.252.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
155
#1
53.91.3
51.152.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
319
#6
50.10.1
49.950.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
663
#22
18.91.3
16.117.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.4
172
#15
40.30.1
40.040.2
Auto
Teleop
End