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Red132
353623.1
7082.2
49473.2
Blue136
24034.2
86265.1
102374.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18217450100150200250300132136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#10
82.20.8
83.082.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
74.30.7
75.074.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
494
#1
73.20.8
74.073.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
862
#14
65.10.7
65.765.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3536
#35
23.10.8
24.023.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.0
240
#17
34.20.7
34.834.2
Auto
Teleop
End