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Red182
54856.3
118941.3
506522.9
Blue123
150217.3
90440.0
124356.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11711250100150200250182123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#28
56.31.1
54.855.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
56.50.2
56.056.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
41.31.1
39.840.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
904
#13
40.00.2
39.539.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5065
#32
22.91.1
21.322.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
1502
#21
17.30.2
16.817.0
Auto
Teleop
End