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Red108
6855.2
6644.6
262028.2
Blue159
317543.8
170136.1
364152.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126135050100150200250300108159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#3
55.20.3
54.954.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
52.70.4
53.153.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
66
#18
44.60.3
44.344.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
43.80.4
44.244.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2620
#26
28.20.3
28.027.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
1701
#12
36.10.4
36.436.8
Auto
Teleop
End