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Quarterfinal 4-32014 Bedford FIRST Robotics District Competition
Red112
6855.2
262028.2
6644.6
Blue154
170136.1
364152.7
317543.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127137050100200250300112154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#3
55.20.3
55.4→55.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.4
3641
#8
52.70.3
53.7→54.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
66
#18
44.60.3
44.9→44.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.8
3175
#6
43.80.3
44.7→45.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2620
#26
28.20.3
28.5→28.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.9
1701
#12
36.10.3
37.0→37.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—