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Red87
354233.6
47030.6
54856.3
Blue118
364152.7
525214.7
262028.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1179105015020087118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#28
56.31.3
56.655.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
52.71.1
57.858.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3542
#11
33.61.3
25.824.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
2620
#26
28.21.1
27.228.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
470
#38
30.61.3
30.529.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.9
5252
#36
14.71.1
10.311.4
Auto
Teleop
End