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Red126
124356.5
86265.1
152810.8
Blue113
509034.8
54856.3
6644.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125132050100150200250300126113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#14
65.10.0
61.261.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
548
#28
56.30.9
51.850.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
56.50.0
49.749.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
66
#18
44.60.9
47.546.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1528
#30
10.80.0
14.814.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.0
5090
#34
34.80.9
31.230.3
Auto
Teleop
End