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Red59
505019.3
24034.2
267619.1
Blue117
521716.4
364152.7
317543.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6711805010015020025059117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
240
#17
34.20.9
41.440.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.6
52.70.4
57.457.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5050
#20
19.30.8
16.816.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.5
43.80.4
37.437.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2676
#39
19.10.9
17.016.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
5217
#37
16.40.4
15.015.3
Auto
Teleop
End