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Red111
509034.8
283445.5
354233.6
Blue98
438443.3
505019.3
525214.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10960015020025011198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.50.5
43.544.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
43.31.5
41.743.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5090
#34
34.80.5
29.730.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.5
5050
#20
19.31.5
14.816.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3542
#11
33.60.5
28.428.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.9
5252
#36
14.71.5
11.012.6
Auto
Teleop
End