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Red147
6855.2
505019.3
124356.5
Blue126
514416.5
525214.7
7082.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124105050150200250147126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.51.3
52.053.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.7
70
#10
82.20.9
77.578.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
68
#3
55.21.3
53.154.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 38.6
5144
#33
16.50.9
16.717.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5050
#20
19.31.3
15.917.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
5252
#36
14.70.9
13.514.4
Auto
Teleop
End