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Red140
81826.5
30232.0
361915.3
Blue255
285136.2
91037.7
52149.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6881050100150200250140255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#23
32.01.3
30.732.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
910
#19
37.72.9
36.439.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
818
#5
26.51.2
25.326.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.7
36.22.9
34.837.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3619
#14
15.31.2
14.215.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
5214
#29
9.13.3
7.610.8
Auto
Teleop
End