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Red17
450719.2
485119.5
476816.5
Blue80
507315.8
413047.2
309622.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33630501001502001780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4851
#34
19.51.7
19.017.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 27.7
4130
#11
47.21.8
27.129.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4507
#26
19.21.7
10.38.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
3096
#22
22.71.8
18.520.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4768
#15
16.51.7
8.56.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
5073
#24
15.81.8
12.414.2
Auto
Teleop
End