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Red11
476816.5
361915.3
36322.8
Blue62
477934.5
309622.7
52149.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2446060801001201401601162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4768
#15
16.51.4
6.85.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.9
4779
#10
34.51.6
14.015.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3619
#14
15.31.4
12.010.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
3096
#22
22.71.6
20.322.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3632
#39
2.81.4
8.87.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
5214
#29
9.11.6
8.09.6
Auto
Teleop
End