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Red50
259110.9
477934.5
285136.2
Blue6
413047.2
361915.3
48154.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6863050100150200506

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.21.4
29.928.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.0
4130
#11
47.24.8
31.927.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4779
#10
34.51.4
18.316.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.1
3619
#14
15.34.8
18.413.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2591
#20
10.91.4
18.817.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
4815
#32
4.24.8
13.48.6
Auto
Teleop
End