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Red21
366710.8
317537.4
507315.8
Blue100
171858.6
259110.9
267317.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8085020030040050060021100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#12
37.45.0
35.430.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.2
58.61.3
47.148.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5073
#24
15.85.0
26.021.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
2673
#16
17.81.3
16.517.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3667
#30
10.85.0
19.314.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2591
#20
10.91.3
20.621.9
Auto
Teleop
End