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Red23
81524.7
48118.4
477617.9
Blue5
48154.2
21725.5
19417.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58380100150200235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
815
#8
24.72.6
17.414.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
217
#21
25.53.0
35.932.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4776
#27
17.92.6
33.030.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.5
1941
#31
7.33.0
5.22.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4811
#36
8.42.6
4.41.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
4815
#32
4.23.0
0.3-2.7
Auto
Teleop
End