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Red82
45335.1
285136.2
19417.3
Blue38
309622.7
477617.9
259110.9
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions448601001502008238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.22.6
32.535.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.4
3096
#22
22.73.5
27.223.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
453
#13
35.12.6
15.918.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.2
4776
#27
17.93.5
30.326.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1941
#31
7.32.6
2.14.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
2591
#20
10.93.5
21.918.5
Auto
Teleop
End