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Red151
28017.2
102358.5
317537.4
Blue11
81524.7
52149.1
267317.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions866105010015020015111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.55.7
39.645.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 33.8
815
#8
24.74.5
23.418.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3175
#12
37.45.7
18.524.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.6
2673
#16
17.84.5
27.623.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
280
#25
17.25.7
24.129.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
5214
#29
9.15.0
14.59.5
Auto
Teleop
End