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Red81
81524.7
317537.4
204816.9
Blue161
477934.5
507315.8
45335.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions737505010015081161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#12
37.40.5
38.839.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
453
#13
35.17.3
26.834.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
815
#8
24.70.5
21.221.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
4779
#10
34.57.3
29.737.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2048
#33
16.90.5
14.515.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
5073
#24
15.87.3
16.624.0
Auto
Teleop
End