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Red131
48154.2
317537.4
309622.7
Blue67
506522.4
48118.4
450719.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5947010015020025030013167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#12
37.45.8
39.345.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.0
5065
#18
22.41.4
21.522.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3096
#22
22.75.8
21.527.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
4507
#26
19.21.4
14.716.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4815
#32
4.25.8
-3.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
4811
#36
8.41.4
12.514.0
Auto
Teleop
End