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Red7
52395.5
506813.9
450719.2
Blue26
204816.9
476816.5
49442.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3671050100150200726

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4507
#26
19.22.8
13.210.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.9
494
#4
42.13.3
38.835.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5068
#37
13.92.8
13.911.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
2048
#33
16.93.3
14.511.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5239
#35
5.512.1
23.311.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.0
4768
#15
16.53.3
11.88.5
Auto
Teleop
End