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Red31
450719.2
19417.3
309622.7
Blue122
366710.8
267317.8
413047.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5478010015020031122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3096
#22
22.71.8
27.826.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.4
4130
#11
47.23.2
40.343.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4507
#26
19.21.8
20.819.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
2673
#16
17.83.2
22.725.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1941
#31
7.31.8
8.87.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
3667
#30
10.83.2
11.114.3
Auto
Teleop
End