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Red125
361915.3
21725.5
171858.6
Blue120
102358.5
477934.5
476816.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97118050150200250125120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.61.6
58.360.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
58.50.3
60.360.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
217
#21
25.51.6
28.029.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.0
4779
#10
34.50.4
34.835.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3619
#14
15.31.6
14.015.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
4768
#15
16.50.3
19.720.1
Auto
Teleop
End