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Red126
481046.0
49442.1
259110.9
Blue132
36322.8
102358.5
171858.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86128050100150200126132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.02.1
41.843.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.6
58.60.7
60.060.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
494
#4
42.11.9
41.042.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.3
58.50.7
60.761.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2591
#20
10.91.9
9.411.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
3632
#39
2.80.7
0.41.1
Auto
Teleop
End