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Red200
481046.0
52149.1
413047.2
Blue61
506813.9
48118.4
317537.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9253015020020061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4130
#11
47.26.4
41.547.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.8
3175
#12
37.40.1
36.636.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
46.06.4
43.950.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.0
5068
#37
13.90.1
13.813.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5214
#29
9.17.0
0.27.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
4811
#36
8.40.1
8.28.4
Auto
Teleop
End