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Red100
33988.5
12330.0
171858.6
Blue7
506813.9
48154.2
285136.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97390501502001007

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.61.0
50.951.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.4
36.23.4
28.525.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
123
#9
30.01.0
26.427.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.1
5068
#37
13.93.4
11.27.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3398
#17
8.51.0
10.211.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
4815
#32
4.23.4
8.65.2
Auto
Teleop
End