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Red182
46995.9
233784.1
283448.8
Blue91
5176.4
86261.9
6873.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244213010030040050018291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#6
95.91.0
99.498.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.5
51
#9
76.42.1
78.576.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
84.11.0
87.686.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
68
#10
73.42.1
75.573.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2834
#23
48.81.0
52.251.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.1
862
#25
61.92.1
64.061.8
Auto
Teleop
End