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Red173
247438.3
24566.9
285140.7
Blue184
477940.8
233784.1
354834.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1301550100200300400173184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#30
66.92.0
68.470.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.2
84.11.7
81.382.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2851
#53
40.72.0
38.140.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
4779
#62
40.81.7
34.636.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2474
#48
38.32.0
27.129.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
3548
#60
34.41.7
35.036.6
Auto
Teleop
End